Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Never Ambling (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Artic Power (IRE) 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Legal Heir 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Poor Connection 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Iron (FR) 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Chosen Son 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Irish Element 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Prank Zappa 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miracle Ball 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Theresasilverlinin 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Madeira Wine 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Buds N Suds 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Big Celebration 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Valkyrian (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Thirty Two Chunk 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Potito 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Vancougar 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Bolt Supremacy 4.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Smiling Tizzy 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Mutt Dillin 30.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 The Rabbi 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Del Mar Jerry 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Clooney 10.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Westwood 3.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Firmus 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Mining District 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Happy Sprinter 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Reno 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Burning Rubber 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Salient 15.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 B Grayson 15.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Beneficial 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Vino Amante 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Golden Surprise 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Kiddo Light 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Dirty Words 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Super Corredora 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Misstrial 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Total Val 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Sounds Lucky 2.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Bank Shot 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Dats Ms. Blame 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Roccabella 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (California Flag H. Presented By City National Bank) – California Flag H. Presented By City National Bank

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Flyover 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Shea Brennan 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Book Smart 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Cali Cat 12.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Sir Rocket 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Man O Rose 3.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 Lovesick Blues 2.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Stamp My Passport 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Imnotvanillasky 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Victoria’s Jewel 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Kiss Me Coco 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Blame It On Abby 4.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Final Table Lady 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Can You Dream 15.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Pasalubong 30.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Aguila Azul 50.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 A Great Shaking 8.00 7 13-1
10 10 Fairlawns Way 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Old Pal 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 City Exile (GB) 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Aligato 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Lahaina Flavor 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Phosphorescence (FR) 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Lammas (GB) 6.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Packs a Wahlop 8.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 British Isles 10.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Maniatic (IRE) 30.00 9.5 18-1
7 7 Henry Adams (IRE) 5.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.