Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Just One More | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Agate | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On a Summer Day | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Purest Performance | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Summer | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Addagirl Addie | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Argentiera | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Ashdale | 3.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sky Low Low | 5.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Delilah | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kissed by Karma | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vietti | 12.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Gorgeous | 50.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heavens Lee | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Charmeuse | 20.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Jalimar | 5.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Right to Win (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gene and Jude | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baron of Sealand | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Ranger Battalion | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mythical Man | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gem Mint Ten | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | House United | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hedge the Risk | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Outtawaterbury | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Final Denile | 8.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Middle Market | 10.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Two’s a Crowd | 12.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Life and Light | 12.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bay of Bengal | 10.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sergeant Capps | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kavanaugh | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fiscal Drag | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Metatron | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Free Spin | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Private Flight | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ark Royal | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Porosity | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Extrasensory | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Carle Place S.) – Carle Place S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Out On Bail | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Evidence | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Spiced Up | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forged Steel | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Global Steve | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Landing Craft | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cairo Caper | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bucaro | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cyclonite | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Pit | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Real Savvy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Landman Friday | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Boondocker | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Catalina Crush | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Union Express | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Desperate Proposal | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cognoscenti | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | I Can See That | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prove | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mission Hill | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doomed | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Set Twirl | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oath of Omerta | 30.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Spinback | 10.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Always Be Smart | 6.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Landauer | 15.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Speed of Sound | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chocolatechocolate | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Me to Londyn | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Itwillbefun | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Auroralinna | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Helen’s Revenge | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Timia | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Farm House | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dark Vector | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Backtrack | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dialbolico | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wajda | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smilensaycheese | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Detail Oriented | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zakat | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mackville | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Senor Pickles | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nic’s Style | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All Class | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Big Calhouna | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Complexity Jane | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stonewall Star | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tipple | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Empire | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First of His Name | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat On | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Funny Uncle | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sin Nombre | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Collect From Ike | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Badlands Ruler | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Knox | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brown Don’t Stop | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.