Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Up On the Edge | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Asian Matriarch | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Dahlia | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Story Hour | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Chablis | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thestral | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunny Isle Beach | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crushed Ice | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thailand | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wexford One | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vasy (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kilby Girl | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brosnan | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Elston Gunnn | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sun Chaser | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shipmate | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Frontier Justice | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Penn Star | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Because of Love | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Noahs Pride | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Third Pick | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | El Halcon | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Harrodsburg | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Implementation | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Track Mate | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Luck | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lofty Adjudicator | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Wellington | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mercy Warren | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Windy Walk | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gloriette | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | De’ Ans Eighty | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commanded | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Abitibi | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiffany Twist | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ask Amanda | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | El Rezeen | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Common Defense | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Crystal Quest | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bail Us Out | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mutaawid | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Presider | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Goes the Clown | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daunt | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 15 | 15 | King Curlin | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mount Rundle | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Calycanthus | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Not Falling Back | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Archie the Giza | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big to Do | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Factor Analysis | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cut to the Chase | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Pearl | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taverna | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Contemplate | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shesa Cherry | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked One | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hissyfitter | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Existence | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Franklin S.) – Franklin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Future Is Now | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luna Louska | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pipsy (IRE) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time to Dazzle | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In Our Time | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pondering | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cart Girl Sam | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Won Happy Mama | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Crush | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lend It Tewmey | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Guanare | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mucho Mojo | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sutherland | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lightning Struck | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | One Cool Dude | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Background | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | J J’s Joker | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Denington | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Xander | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gluckstadt | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hometown Hero | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Overbore | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She’s On a Roll | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Green Screen | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cynical Humor | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Alpyland | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit of a Walkon | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cowboy Roy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Town | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Chasing Freedom | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | No Joke Joe | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grace Met Cupid | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Road Trippin | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midshakin | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Emiliano | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ruler of the Skies | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Election Night | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.