Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Asian Matriarch | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Story Hour | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Chablis | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thestral | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunny Isle Beach | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Dahlia | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Up On the Edge | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crushed Ice | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wexford One | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vasy (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sun Chaser | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brosnan | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frontier Justice | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Elston Gunnn | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thailand | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Because of Love | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Third Pick | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Penn Star | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shipmate | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | El Halcon | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kilby Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Noahs Pride | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Harrodsburg | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Implementation | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Track Mate | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lofty Adjudicator | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Luck | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Wellington | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Windy Walk | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | De’ Ans Eighty | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gloriette | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mercy Warren | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Commanded | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abitibi | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ask Amanda | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiffany Twist | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | El Rezeen | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Common Defense | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Crystal Quest | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Presider | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bail Us Out | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mutaawid | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Goes the Clown | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Factor Analysis | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daunt | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big to Do | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Calycanthus | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Not Falling Back | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | King Curlin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Archie the Giza | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mount Rundle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Taverna | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cut to the Chase | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Contemplate | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Existence | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked One | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shesa Cherry | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hissyfitter | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Pearl | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Franklin S.) – Franklin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pipsy (IRE) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luna Louska | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In Our Time | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time to Dazzle | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cart Girl Sam | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Won Happy Mama | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pondering | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Future Is Now | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lady Crush | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | One Cool Dude | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lightning Struck | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Background | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mucho Mojo | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gluckstadt | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sutherland | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Denington | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | J J’s Joker | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hometown Hero | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lend It Tewmey | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Overbore | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Xander | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Guanare | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cowboy Roy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cynical Humor | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Town | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Alpyland | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grace Met Cupid | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit of a Walkon | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Joke Joe | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Road Trippin | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chasing Freedom | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Emiliano | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midshakin | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ruler of the Skies | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Green Screen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | She’s On a Roll | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Election Night | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.