Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (California Distaff H.) – California Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bit’s Tiger Magic | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sneaker | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Slam Smile | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Issa Court | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moment’s Pleasure | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ridegold | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | French Moonlight | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warm Reception | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Chaos | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dialing Destiny | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vronaway | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Flirt | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turkey Bird | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mperfection | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Siempre Naman | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Goodnight Nellie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shop Till You Drop | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eltonsingsanother | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strange Addiction | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Halfway to Nowhere | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maria Tallchief | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Soiree | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dandy Man Shines (IRE) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Smart Code | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Leasure | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One of These Days (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sketchy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Prophet | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pacific Quest | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spearfish | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Feel the Magic | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Petesoldfashioned | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mala | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Am Amadeo | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Empire | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Palisades | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ring General | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Arrakis | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Afternoon Nap | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speedy Wilson | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hotrocket (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tigerhon (FR) | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shamrock Glitter (FR) | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Corn | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Listenupshance | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pocket Venus | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Toast to Lanie | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coiffeur | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coralgableskaylin | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diva Cat | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chase’n Kota | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crossanna | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yogi Boy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Ale | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zoffarelli (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Please Focus | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Margot’s Boy | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Man Child | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | So I’m Told | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bobby’s Alibi | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Much Info | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J T’s Watch | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Showers | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Cap | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lolo Le Plume | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grecian Goddess | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Epione | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Madame Secretary | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shared Future | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Iriseach (IRE) | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cactus Charlie | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mighty Toro | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chapter One | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diaghilev | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Best Known Secret | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pick It Up | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Time | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Migo | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kilmer | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Green Screen | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Track Tiger | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.