Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 15, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chiringo 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 I Got No Munny 4.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 Captivated Drama 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Macron 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Pure Panic 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Princip 6.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Priority Lane 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pinfire 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Payne 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Alternate Reality 6.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Shotshell 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Unlimitedpotential 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Uncashed 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Daddy Justify 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Goldenageactress 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Planet Clare 8.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Princess Ny 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Miss Tifeye 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Mizmalice 10.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Parking Lot Pours 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 She’s a Swede 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 September Magic 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Greek Heiress 2.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Golden Degree 1.60 2.3 4-1
1 1 Battleshipper 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Miss Arlington 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Birdie Rose 4.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Run Camila Run 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Barstool 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dr Fenn 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Hafu 5.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Tims 10.00 4.9 9-1
14 14 Sierra Power 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Allequin Summer 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Go Jack Go 4.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Secreto Uno 10.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Wood You Dare 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Chiquita’s Way 30.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Stormy Zapper 10.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Springhawk 6.00 8 15-1
4 4 Dreamofyou 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Alter Boy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ayra Stark (ARG) 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Poppy the Princess 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Royal Suite 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Vinos Angel 20.00 3 6-1
7 7 Cozee Rags 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Statement Made 30.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Kiss Blue 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bonne Sante 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Essential Coffee 12.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Tam Tam 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Rockin Robin 10.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Tramuntana 12.00 2.7 5-1
13 13 Call Me Precious 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Of All Things 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 More Sweeter 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Live Life 20.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Nycon 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Cord of Hope 10.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Holly’s Holiday 30.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Rose of San Antone 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dangherecomesshang (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tales of The Heart (IRE) 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Lovely Emma 12.00 2.1 4-1
11 11 Bundchen 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 She’z the Law 15.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Laurice 10.00 3.6 7-1
14 14 Stay Classy 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Lost and Found 8.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Speighter Woman 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Judith 15.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Cotillard 30.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Heylookmeover 30.00 8.1 15-1
16 16 Dream On Stormy 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Epic Style 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mechaya 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bunratty Manor (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.