Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 16, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Brooklyn Styles 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Uncle Aldo 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Felonious 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Mr. Mashigina 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Likeness 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Endernite 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Twirling Lad 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Tim and Sam 2.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 The Obliterator 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 You’re Lookin Good 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Kuleana 3.50 6 11-1
9 9 Talk to Me Jimmy 1.80 6.7 13-1
6 6 Fazzone 4.50 7.6 14-1
7 7 Reign It In 15.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Zip for Rick 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Furry Fox 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Twirly 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Spirit of Esther 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Cha Cha Wren 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Another Cleeshay 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Toxic Girl 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Handle On You 10.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 That’sthefactjack 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 With the Angels 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Wild Mama 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Filly Crystal 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Sporting Lady 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Practical Lov 2.50 5 9-1
5 5 Sarir 4.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Looks First 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Quiddity 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Ms Sophistication 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Tiz the Lady 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Britain 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Saratoga Party 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Shilling 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Baffle 8.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Full of Tact 12.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Backstreets 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Meg’s Foxy Grey 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sight to See 6.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Spun Size 8.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 I’m Buzzy 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 She’s Complicated 4.00 5 9-1
3 3 Sailaway 3.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Cararra 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Melle Mel 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 No Evidence 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Innate (IRE) 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Niagara Skyline 4.50 6.2 12-1
5 5 Winnebago (IRE) 5.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Fore Harp 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Hilarious Affair 8.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Georgia Magic 2.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Executive Order 30.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Alan Turing 12.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Complex Music 15.00 10.1 19-1
4 4 Finestkind 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Great Actress 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Fonzi Angel 15.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Belle of Georgia (IRE) 3.50 9 17-1
4 4 Mis Brunellas 4.50 10.1 19-1
1 1 Consider Me First 8.00 10.4 20-1
5 5 Just Aloof 6.00 10.6 20-1
12 12 Year End Bonus 2.50 11.1 21-1
2 2 Take Home Gold 8.00 11.3 21-1
11 11 Come On Get Happy 4.00 11.4 22-1
8 8 Kaffeinate (GB) 10.00 11.6 22-1
9 9 Market Hours 5.00 11.7 22-1
6 6 Just Tell Anne 8.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.