Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mila Rose | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo for Us | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s No Angel | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mezcalifornia | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Black Ginger | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mascara | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Squall | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shezafunkydrummer | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Thousand M P H | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Wanna Go Home | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Matty’s Baby | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Loving Mischief | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wrong Shoes | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nonstop Vino | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Topic Thunder | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lel Ditty | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sacred Prayer | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wind Sand Stars | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crown of Violence | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Run Mama Run | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | News Too Serious | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Tizzlin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Christy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lovely Summer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Confessional | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Albus | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Forefathers | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colossus | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corona de Oro | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bye Bye Brady | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mimicry | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Into the Beast | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Landry | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meanstepper | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Grand Slam Sam | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Comes a Time | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Floodlites | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon’s Fault | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Perfect Magic | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Matt’s Luck | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Baytown Bruiser | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Evan On Earth | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sinister Smile | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibrew | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Riddle Solver | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Attersee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Our Starry Night | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Amoudi Bay | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Confront | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pharoah’s Dynasty | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brie’s in Town | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beer Run | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glacial Power | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miracle Worker | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Its Bourbon Thirty | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vesture | 4.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Math Tutor | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hard to Say | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Happy Cat | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rowdy Riot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bunratty Manor (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Hit That Review (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Circle Tap | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fuzzbuster | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thunder Buck | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Liberty National | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Kapur | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chip Honcho | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flaming Rainbow | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sure to Appeal | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rochester | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Talmadge | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lighter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Army Officer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winnemac Avenue | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gasoline | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | National Eclipse | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Resilience | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Society Man | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mackman | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pappy’s Revenge | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stowaway | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Unload | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Speed Bias | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Archie the Giza | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Groveland | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Proctor Street | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | For Flying (BRZ) | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Public Defender | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Lookin Lucky | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strikingly Spun | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Ellie | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Lilac Rolla (IRE) | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scarlet Sands | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nanabush (ARG) | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Watch This Birdie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Breezing Along | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Floating Beauty | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Split Success | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Irish | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In Awe of Juju | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | J Rivers | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dozen Diamonds | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grace On Grace | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tizntshelovely | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’s Not a Joke | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Fury | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Truthorconsequence | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rando | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Eskenforaraise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.