Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twentyone N Change | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stayed in for Half | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Lancelot (GB) | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lake Bee | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Northvale Road | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Straight Luck | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hoff | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cinco Richie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speightsville | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laridae | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweep the West | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justalittlepicky | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Ta | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oh Juliet | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Chikitita | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Misty Chatter | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Avie Rae | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Great Runner | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ambiguous | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Our Dream Rye’d | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sound of Victory | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | To too Twentytwo | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Without Equal | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Structured | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Major Griffin | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Haskelled | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | King Adolis | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | When Smokey Sings | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Banchero | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knock’em Out Jerry | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fly Red Bird Fly | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pea Eye | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sargent Ray | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Merlin the Red | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Out With Ty | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Compendium | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kause I’m Devine | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cafezinho | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loterie (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | County Slugger | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catching Heat | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Mozetti | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cactus Blossom | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jeri Dawn | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Son of a Bling | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Runhappy d’Oro | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zohere | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allo Enry | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bling Mountain | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lea Me Be | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tenth Street Don | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Third Street | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tigers ‘n Bears | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bold Appeal | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Yoda Winner | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rainbow Smiles | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Verse | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Predicting | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Bond Too | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Courageous Cappen | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Speed It Up | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Hell We Did | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Agenda | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Makeshift’s Legacy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chad Allan | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Moneymilitia | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jets Rio | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Violently Gone | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gifted Valor | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | High Cinco | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | His Way | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Richochet Rick | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unapologetic | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uniter | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Absolutely Certain | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Time Mark | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wow That’s Hot | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Bid | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Trevaggio | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Optimus Kat | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Life At Sea | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ti Caillou | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Easy as Pie | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Prize | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Cat | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Time Andbeyond | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Red Romance | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.