Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 16, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Reach for the Top 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Executive Success 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Citori 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 I’m Tenacious 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Might Bee Trouble 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Shootin’ Amy 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 McGill 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Celebrity Ro 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Texas Holiday 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Spellcheck 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Shade of Pale 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Lady Iona 3.50 5.4 10-1
4 4 Crystalaire (GB) 20.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Bound to Be True 6.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Just Magnificent 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Veri Collected 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Fedorova 8.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Sultry Sophie 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Froginapond 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Strike a Note 15.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Prized Spirit 12.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Naughty Destiny 3.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Almasty’s Lust 20.00 5 10-1
9 9 Bling d’Money Home 20.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Danish Cookie 15.00 8 15-1
4 4 Nashyan 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lois Len 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Nice Baby 4.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Looks Lucky to Me 4.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Magic Modie 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Dynamic Strike 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Hay Hay Paula 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Emerald Lake 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Mitole Power 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Lady Moonshine 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 April de Velp 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Iron Pyrite 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Keytothepark 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Abino Bay 6.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Katherine’s Cub 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Silent Strike 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Call Me Kaykay 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Z Train (IRE) 4.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Lemon Sweets 8.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Pretty Liza 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Maxine Magic 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Nicki Is a Breeze 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Peace Posey 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 McKenzie Road 1.60 3.7 7-1
4 4 Beautiful Sky 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ecliptical Ladybug 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Love Strike 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Serenading Kitten 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Arctic Blonde 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Blaze of Mischief 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Mia Mitole 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Malibu Betty 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Miss Boujee 4.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Sunnyville 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Tallawah 20.00 8 15-1
8 8 Beach Cricket 12.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.