Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 17, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Turriga 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Thirteen Red Flags 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Intentious 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 I’m Kidding 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Miss Bourbon 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Silsbee 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Nina Kay 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 One Last Knock 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Watdoyousay Jose 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Alpine Giant 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Three Two Won 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Twisted Banker 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Diamond Life 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Always Honest 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Big Brooklyn 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Red Fern 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Moneybags Milton 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Essentially Fast 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Starship Lizzy 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 My Devine One 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Luciana’s Honor 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Pinky Brier 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cathedral Aisle 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Golden Miracle 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Shining Silver 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Taparoo 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Strong Quality 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Dominican Pioneer 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dear Dad 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Wynstock 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Catch a Wave 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Trikari 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Le Gris 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Activist Investing (GB) 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Vesting (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Renegade 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Silent Scheme 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Paladin 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Hedge Ratio 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Gordy 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Geostoblame 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Credit History 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Good Illusion 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lucky Dragon 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Uncle Barrie 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Carlin Contention 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Daytona Moonshine 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Good Cop 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Egyptian 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kaz Ice Changer 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sea Shepherd 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Exploration 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Charlie’s Express 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Heavyweight Champs 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Golden Plate 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Go Irish 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Unbroken Chain 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Aero Star 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tarpaulin 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Social Hour 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Silo Ridge 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Notah 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Trust Fund 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 On the Level 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ican 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Cultivate 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mike’s Magic 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Prince of Dance 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Nano Man 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Marcus Gift 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Korrongo 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Film Academy 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 My Life Story 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Royal Browne 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Derek’s Law 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pandemic Hero 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Tapwrits Temper 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Broderick 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.