Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alpine Giant | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nina Kay | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Last Knock | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silsbee | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Intentious | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Kidding | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Turriga | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Bourbon | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thirteen Red Flags | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watdoyousay Jose | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Diamond Life | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Essentially Fast | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Fern | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always Honest | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twisted Banker | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Three Two Won | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moneybags Milton | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Brooklyn | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Devine One | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pinky Brier | 1.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luciana’s Honor | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taparoo | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shining Silver | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Lizzy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cathedral Aisle | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Miracle | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Trikari | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catch a Wave | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Activist Investing (GB) | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dear Dad | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Quality | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vesting (IRE) | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dominican Pioneer | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Le Gris | 2.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wynstock | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Paladin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Credit History | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Renegade | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gordy | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hedge Ratio | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geostoblame | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Illusion | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Scheme | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sea Shepherd | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Dragon | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carlin Contention | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Barrie | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daytona Moonshine | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Egyptian | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good Cop | 2.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kaz Ice Changer | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tarpaulin | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exploration | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Social Hour | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aero Star | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Irish | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charlie’s Express | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unbroken Chain | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heavyweight Champs | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Plate | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trust Fund | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ican | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silo Ridge | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | On the Level | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Notah | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mike’s Magic | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cultivate | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Dance | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pandemic Hero | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Derek’s Law | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Film Academy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tapwrits Temper | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nano Man | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Browne | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Life Story | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Marcus Gift | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Korrongo | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broderick | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.