Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Our Shenanigan | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nana Grace | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hampton’s Affair | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Union | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Army Nurse | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dani Girl | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Her Town | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Pippa | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Iron Sharpens Iron | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Schifty’s Haloid | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itsinmyblood | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Mover | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Look to the Cross | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vino Couragio | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daryl’s Bolt | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jr’s Gift | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Plaza Cue | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scooch Over | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Beach | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glamorama | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Senora d’Oro | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lilium | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ashes and Diamonds | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Willowy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queen of Spirits | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lion Lake (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kilby Girl | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cardiff Reef | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Soothsayer | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beach Heist | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ocala Gala | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dafina | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Sunsets | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mamarsha | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lost Chord | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Monarca | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Romantic Dancer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tempers Fly | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Likely Perspective (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misty Muppet | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Myiyla | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bold Boss | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Purple | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Atlantic Passage | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carlisle Bay | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Who’s Madie | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Star Watch | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bright Lady Day | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chaching Chaching | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Elle | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tre Dita | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truthorconsequence | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Women | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Viggiedal | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Bebsi | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Army Girl | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Late to the Game | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Paris Twilight | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Epic Lady Luck | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lit Up | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runs On Dreams | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I B Flyin | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Riotous | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Got Gone | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Modern Escape | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Victor Valley | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | She’s On a Roll | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Listentourmother | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Endorse | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Absolute Honor | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delicious Diva | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aeolian | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indict | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clairita | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jewel Box | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bodacious Beauty | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bergen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frosty View | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Attache | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Butch’s Best | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smokey Smokey | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Test Factor | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jakajaro (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Monsieur Candy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chromed Impulse | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Surf City | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slider | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Scotty’s On Edge | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Incursion | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Good Lord | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nation | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Explosively | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suited and Booted | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Chado | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Master Mule | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tejas | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Redacted | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiverton (GB) | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Okie Clipper | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mendello | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.