Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Our Shenanigan | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nana Grace | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Union | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Army Nurse | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Pippa | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dani Girl | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Her Town | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hampton’s Affair | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Iron Sharpens Iron | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itsinmyblood | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Mover | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Schifty’s Haloid | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Look to the Cross | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jr’s Gift | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daryl’s Bolt | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vino Couragio | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Plaza Cue | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scooch Over | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glamorama | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Senora d’Oro | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lilium | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Classy Beach | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Willowy | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Queen of Spirits | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ashes and Diamonds | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Soothsayer | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cardiff Reef | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lion Lake (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mamarsha | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lost Chord | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dafina | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Sunsets | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ocala Gala | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beach Heist | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Monarca | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kilby Girl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tempers Fly | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Atlantic Passage | 10.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Romantic Dancer | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Purple | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Misty Muppet | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Who’s Madie | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Myiyla | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Likely Perspective (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bright Lady Day | 50.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Star Watch | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bold Boss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Carlisle Bay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Late to the Game | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chaching Chaching | 1.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Truthorconsequence | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Viggiedal | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Elle | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Bebsi | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Army Girl | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Women | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tre Dita | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | She’s On a Roll | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paris Twilight | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Epic Lady Luck | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Riotous | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Listentourmother | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lit Up | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Got Gone | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I B Flyin | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Modern Escape | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Victor Valley | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runs On Dreams | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Absolute Honor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Indict | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Delicious Diva | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bodacious Beauty | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jewel Box | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aeolian | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clairita | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Endorse | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Attache | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bergen | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frosty View | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monsieur Candy | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jakajaro (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smokey Smokey | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slider | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Test Factor | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Surf City | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Butch’s Best | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chromed Impulse | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Scotty’s On Edge | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Suited and Booted | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Incursion | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nation | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Master Mule | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Explosively | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Good Lord | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Okie Clipper | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chado | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tejas | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiverton (GB) | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mendello | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Redacted | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.