Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Passage East | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Despo’s Dream | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Big Calhouna | 1.60 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grammy Girl | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brzina | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Problematica | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Acoustic Ave | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goodasiwonswas | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tizmarkus | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Breslau | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | River Dog | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barksdale | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fromanothamutha | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Systemic Change | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Your Money | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Me Not | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glint | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Malibu | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Waitlist | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Middle Market | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jackson’s Dixie | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pens Street | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lika Rolling Stone | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Champagne Surprise | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Sassicaia | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Floge | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mursal | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jackie the Joker | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Goats On a Tree | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tour Jete | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Khali Magic | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Collaboration | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seat At the Table | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Soundbite | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bobby Jean | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Temple City Taboo | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tuck Check | 6.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fantasy Performer | 4.50 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Luna Moth | 12.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sweetest Princess | 2.50 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Bonnie T | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fortuna Mia | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Takeschargesmiling | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J D Factor | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Master of Arms | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Great Richie M | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fielding | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Screaming Uncle | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forgiving Spirit | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sagamore Mischief | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Confession | 50.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sin Nombre | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Sands Point S.) – Sands Point S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Griselda (FR) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Picture | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ready for Candy | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Decadent | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paradise City | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boca Queen (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winfinity | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Market | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Devil in Disguise | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Live High Live Low | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shefflin | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Knockanara | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Big Hat Willie | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vacation Dance | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Finster | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cousin Ed | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Java Buzz | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Frank’s Art | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Gatsby | 2.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Let It Ride | 3.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | City of Oscars | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seaver | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vinsanity | 30.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Extraordinary One (GB) | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Light the Way | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twenty Four Mamba | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Unclecharliesgift | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bramito | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Treaty Obligation | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Kraft | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whittington Park | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tabeguache | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Eliminate | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princetown | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emirates Road | 3.50 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jackson Heights | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Walley World | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fuerteventura | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Belouni (FR) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Risk Manager | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tut’s Revenge | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Noted | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Son of a Birch | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clear Conscience | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Conman | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Dreamlike | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highestdistinction | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Power Seeker | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruse | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Wynstock | 4.50 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Le Gris | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Laird of Magnolia | 50.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sol Hope | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duboff | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strictly Taboo | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Linarite | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peony | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Top Gun Girl | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cynane | 2.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kerry | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ready for Trouble | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blossoming Erudite | 5.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thiene (IRE) | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mizoula (IRE) | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Proud Foot | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.