Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Play the Trumpet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mena | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indy Magic | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magnolia Midnight | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Discovery | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Xperiment | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Pranks | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cape Trafalgar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Plausible Denile | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Maximus Prime | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outlaw Empire | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Quarry | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spun Legacy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Project Ace | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Consequential | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Rock Road | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vitruvian Man | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Section | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Underappreciated | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dreamofyou | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kingofsomewherehot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kid Charlemagne | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Glam Slam | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Runadhara | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon Notes | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Private Debbie | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Naughty by Nature | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizzlin | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flash of Freedom | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Splendid Song | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Signed With Love | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mya Papaya | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maximum Offer | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Girl Scout | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Golden Gamble | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady of Silence | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Necessity | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eunomia | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Omaha | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snowyte | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Nancy S | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just the Sky | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sierra November | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Little Ni | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Determined Kingdom | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Stash | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dhabab (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Script | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mischievous Rogue | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wendelssohn | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Let My People Go | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Into the Sunrise | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Nobals | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Perryville S.) – Perryville S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Captain Cook | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barnes | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rolando | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Owen Almighty | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taylor’s Version | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gaming | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Solemn Vow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slay the Day | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glow of a Rose | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Gossip | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feeling Groovy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Majestic Moon | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Music Burst | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stay in Tune | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pause | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Presumptuous | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Summer Date | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aunt Sheryl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Light My Flame | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Genius Jimmy | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eye On Ry | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Green Light | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | This Is Uscar | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theismann | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Siege of Boston | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Minkster | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miranda Rights | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Degree of Risk | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nineeleventurbo | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Multitask | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Lexus Raven Run S.) – Lexus Raven Run S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ragtime | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Simply Joking | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delightful Claire | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Quietside | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maida | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Vodka With a Twist | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kappa Kappa | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Usha | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Om N Joy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Tetiaroa | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Volleyballprincess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Taliesin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Strong State | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Reputation | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Vixen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Backgammon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shane’s the Brains | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unlikely Queen | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Angelic Katie | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maverick Queen | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Treasured Times | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Liam’s Latte | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patron Silver | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Karma Cat | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fire | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pashmina | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fogg Cove | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Academic Freedom | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Minstrelly | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Rhapsody in Motion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Indigo Woods (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.