Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Magnolia Midnight | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indy Magic | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Play the Trumpet | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Discovery | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cape Trafalgar | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | American Xperiment | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mena | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Pranks | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Plausible Denile | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Outlaw Empire | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximus Prime | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Project Ace | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spun Legacy | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Consequential | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Section | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Quarry | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Rock Road | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dreamofyou | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kid Charlemagne | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kingofsomewherehot | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vitruvian Man | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Underappreciated | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Glam Slam | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Splendid Song | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Private Debbie | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Naughty by Nature | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon Notes | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flash of Freedom | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maximum Offer | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runadhara | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Signed With Love | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Girl Scout | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mya Papaya | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizzlin | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Necessity | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snowyte | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Gamble | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sierra November | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eunomia | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Omaha | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady of Silence | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saint Nancy S | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just the Sky | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Nobals | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Script | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wendelssohn | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Stash | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Ni | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Determined Kingdom | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dhabab (IRE) | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Let My People Go | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischievous Rogue | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Into the Sunrise | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Perryville S.) – Perryville S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Captain Cook | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barnes | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Owen Almighty | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taylor’s Version | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gaming | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rolando | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Solemn Vow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glow of a Rose | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Gossip | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slay the Day | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aunt Sheryl | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Feeling Groovy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stay in Tune | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Majestic Moon | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pause | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Music Burst | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Presumptuous | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Light My Flame | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Summer Date | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Degree of Risk | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Siege of Boston | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | This Is Uscar | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Nineeleventurbo | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Green Light | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Theismann | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Minkster | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Multitask | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eye On Ry | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Genius Jimmy | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miranda Rights | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Lexus Raven Run S.) – Lexus Raven Run S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ragtime | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Quietside | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Usha | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Simply Joking | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kappa Kappa | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maida | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Vodka With a Twist | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Delightful Claire | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Taliesin | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Om N Joy | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strong State | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reputation | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Tetiaroa | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vixen | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Volleyballprincess | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Backgammon | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Patron Silver | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Indigo Woods (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shane’s the Brains | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Academic Freedom | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Pashmina | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maverick Queen | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Treasured Times | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angelic Katie | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Minstrelly | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Liam’s Latte | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fire | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Rhapsody in Motion | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unlikely Queen | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Karma Cat | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fogg Cove | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.