Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tandhoneywithane | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princessonamission | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sil’s Gamble | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crumlin Trouble | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancetotherhythm | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cloud Rider | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Storm | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Ready | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Onehotmess | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Salted | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dazzling Cruiser | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D’aurum | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tuned Out | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rideau Falls | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Lady J | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Philip Banks | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Bear | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Highland Blue | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kokomo | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paynes Spirit | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Weaver | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cuban Thunder (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Danger | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Brengungirl | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miramichi | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Good as Gone | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rhaenyra | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | More Money Hunny | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Go Giffen | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stephanieswarrior | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Pierre | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kee’s Flatter | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Party Central | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Likely Story | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive Yaupon | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twist of Sugar | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Undercover Agent | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mauna Loa | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Myhusbandsagenius | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sammy the Shark | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alluring Amy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dunmore Beach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Things | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She Reigns | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinzie Girl | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Superfly Chick | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Souperrazzledazzle | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Party Hotline | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady On a Mission | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ava’s Princess | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stroke of Genius | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Purr Factor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shifty | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Botta Swing | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luz de La Luna | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ecstasy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crystal Visions | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Connor | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stratus | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Political Warfare | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mohaymen Diamond | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lonny’s Gamble | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blondina’s Boy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Weller Green | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lost Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Captivating Name | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ontario Derby) – Ontario Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mansetti | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Again | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wagstaff | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s Not Joking | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Session | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Capable | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Borealis Trail | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Victory Achieved | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m A Gambler (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souped Up | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twin City | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Playmea Tune | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Old Chestnut | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Score | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reload’s Rascal | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ashuka | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Lew | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drogon | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aim Don’t Miss | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Strider | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Halcon Negro | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Earning My Ears | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | M C Luvin | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carrick On Stage | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chief Lionhart | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bourbononaholiday | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.