Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hint Hint | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Be Back Again | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Miss Curlin | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go North Boss | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Running Faith | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flower Girl | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ridearoundsalley | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What’s Love | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Walknto Neworleans | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Words for Camille | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Annala | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Racelyn Racy Day | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Leisurely | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leaving Shadows | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daddy’s Gift | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Righteous Freedom | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quik Punch | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Black Cloud | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | V Cut | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | A G’s Gem | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One More Sleep | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | B D Primary Ours | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior and a Half | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Astrology Wonowon | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | One Sweet Deal | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warrior’s Law | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wickey Bibby | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Custom Ruby | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Hot Girl | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Pumpkin | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Athena’s Iron Lady | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call Fern | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Astrologysprotege | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Premium | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charco | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Copter | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Adieu Aces | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Julia’s Warrior | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Helladic | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Essay | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oceola | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Bert | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holy Bayou | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Layla’s Song | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tootoo Tourist | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lexington Diva | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chrome Racer | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katie’s Karat | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agami | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miz Jameson | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Helena Baby | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hold the Drama | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Sugar Factory | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Vision | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnolia’s Mission | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shining Away | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whateveryousay | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lily’s Legacy | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Security Queen | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shesabeast | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Runnin Munnin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | South Side | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ranch Water | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Ami | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Rick | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Special Stormy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Saint Peter’s Bay | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Mero Mero | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | High Prince | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ashaab | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Prowling Tiger | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Secret Magic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | First Honor | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slim Causeway | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storm Surge | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Half an Apple | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delphine | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dat’s a Goode One | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Never Walk Alone | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cutter Loose | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ido Solemnly Swear | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emani Rose | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.