Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Manage Xpectations | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Onmywaytosavthday | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Animal Fries | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tarragon | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Acclaim | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Salty | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eyes of Gold | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Makenna | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Noroomformischief | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Struck At Midnight | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Glide | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Greatest | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Azteca | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Napoli | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cairosa | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Click | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lexico | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Denise Says No | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Caliente | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lambo | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brave Blend | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guardian | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tom Cat Tuesday | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honest Al | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Redacted | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | McIlroy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nacho Bar | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rapoport | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clear the Beach | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | En Fuego | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Saikali | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Money Man | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cant Stop Munnings | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Mr Bobo | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Post Game | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bessamay | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mary’s Lad (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Proudly Hailed (GB) | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Ice Wolf | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tap Me a Song | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Outofpi | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bestball | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Courageous Clay | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | All About You | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sticker Shock | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Theoretical | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Touch of an Angel | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joke Maker | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Powered by Family | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Hoakalei | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mojo Promise | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queenstown | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Cearnach | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coco Connect | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosty Mojito | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Rainbow | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Starbrite Starlite | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Flaming Mama | 50.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Classify | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legalize | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beeline | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One True Shance | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hailstorm | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keep It Easy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Catch | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Surly Furious | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Distorted Pro | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Suncroft | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Memorized | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sadie Earp | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Troienne | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nickel Saver | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Screen Test | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dame Laura | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Two Girls | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Madam | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Back Ring Buzz | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bert’s Knoty Girl | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Undisputable | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diablo Shiraz | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Red Beretta | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nu What’s New | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Prestigio | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Calling On Heaven | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Arthur Jr | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Homer’s Odyssey | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Good Mojo | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spellmaker | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barker | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hogie the Player | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Titanium Man | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Valiant Humor | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Super Ms | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Garry | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Cinister Cix | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Classic Rock | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.