Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Won Day | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hurricane Lassie | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pip Squeek | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Madelyn’s Hit | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cranky Sheila | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Day for the Gray | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | City Ghost | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Slam Diego | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Give Em Hail Gayle | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eagle Express | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cool Guitar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Monopoly Man | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catalina Express | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Angelic Knight | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Concentration | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Big Nickel | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Keep Him | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Asaasy | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Metallic Mischief | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quaternion | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eligio | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Come On Mulitch | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Marks Legacy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Martin’s Mo Tom | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In the Gray | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dulce Lorefiche | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spiritual Duty | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Therealdeal | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ongoing Challenge | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Unshakeable Proof | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Deal | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Our Nugget | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Streak | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cadillac Bo | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | About the Business | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Theboyz Warning | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Quikonthetrigger | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Copesthebomb | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Pursuit | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen’s Knight | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knight’s Valor | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jenny’s Day | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Neon Moonlight | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Country Angel | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dose of Reality | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sacred Vow | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | T D Z Zodiac Queen | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Riptide Rose | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Country | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missneversatisfied | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Acesanddiamonds | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Solidify | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keys Included | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drilling Report | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unfathomed | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | William Gustavo | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colonel Barton | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Castille | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Asset Basis | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shankinstine | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mor Big Lee | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Same Play | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corporal Paul | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sarah’s Runner | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Asthecoldwindblows | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Majestic | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My First Deal | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tsuperman | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Seehoss | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Northernreflection | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Synthesis | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Into Wishing | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Z’s Guitar | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hostile Afleet | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Wise | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Together | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Veracruzin | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deanos Cape | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Bet | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alleva | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.