Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sprint Out Pass | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Putting Eagle | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Take Backs | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shortstop | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Farm Team | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strummin | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cloudy Holiday | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dan d’Oro | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Odorico | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Leading Change | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flash of Chaos | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Refined Design | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maximum Effort | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time for Music | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bhatia | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Like Water | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forever Rocket | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Election Night | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Oujda (FR) | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Queen | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ms. Tart | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Youalmosthadme | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crown Imperial | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirl Around | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweetalkingbourbon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Yo | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Askari | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Remi’s Moon | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bermuda Blitz | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Googol Joke | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mission Improbable | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Utopian | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Weaponized | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Amberglen (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 16 | 16 | All About You | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Love and Grace | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Drama | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Core Memories | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Lilo Lil | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Eve | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Turkish Pistachio | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Sugar Doll | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Combustible Mass | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | About and Around | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Temple Goddess | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Academic Freedom | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paseo | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love Knicks Hart | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | River Waveney | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Antietam | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nuanced | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Private Show | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Voulezvous | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charisma | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trouble Ahead | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wizard of Yester | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hamlet | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bon Temps | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Legend of Bobby C | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cinister Cix | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fulleffort | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Expressway | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Easy Wind | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | East Village | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Knoty Knicks | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Baytown Dreamer | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Longhi | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Million Dreams | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Collecting | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Colt Forty Seven | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sam’s Treasure | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tanya Showers | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caress | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ervadean | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lover Girl | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Xtreme Smoke Show | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Lady Iva | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Triumphant Spirit | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Lots of Kisses | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Auntie | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rethink | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Palace Girl (GER) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pretty Tapit | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Emmy Blue | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | You’re So Vain | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Thames | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Queen | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smokin Hot Blonde | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All the Feels | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | One Happy Island | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Theravada | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Evalina | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.