Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Waver | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holiday Presence | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honeycrisp | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arsonist | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Freely | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Checker’s Song | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Very Unlikely | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gospel Precious | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wartime Hero | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love Pack | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twelve Volt | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Benny Buckets | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miami Moonlight | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cousin Larry | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clements Ride | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Giveitaspin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honor Society | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Civilianaire | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mirror | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | One Mor Rose | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girls Knicks Now | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dig Baby Dig | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Merry Mary Lou | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Northpark | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Lass | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’s a Cowgirl | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free to Be Me | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Dixie Belle | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pass Line | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Member | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Appleseed | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Gold | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ship It Red | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Worlds | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Playing Hardball | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Weird Year | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Neom Beach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thunders Rocknroll | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Peak Earnings (GB) | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Imaluckycharm | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’sskysthelimit | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Davina | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Rose | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thetruthisthetruth | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Optimistic Cowgirl | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Express | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lightsoutscarlett | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Secured | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sheri’s Prada | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lottery Ticket | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Find the Light | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Say as I Say | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cabo Cowgirl | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Rockitretta | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Now Hear This | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Light a Shuck | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Katies Spirit | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Presleys Turn | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Foolish Affair | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Kisses | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Protocol | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Clancy | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Haleakala | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun Twirl | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blackjack Mary | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Expect a Patriot | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jlofactor | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Canoga | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deadly Beauty | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Let Him Be | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Immelmann | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bron and Brow | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Under Contract | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mi Saturday | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket Sanders | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vale | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Saturdays | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Night Passage | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rockin the Dad Bod | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brahms Image | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Landlord | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gigante | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ocelot | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saline River | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carlea’s Dream | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Without a Trace | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Happy Strike | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Creative Minister | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Team Leader | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bernie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Dawn | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.