Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lagoon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harry’s Onthefly | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alex Joon | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Johnny Podres | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sharp Charlie | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sono | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | India Ink | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Brady | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Grazen Boy | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stovall | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hi Yah | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Liam | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grey Shadow | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gone Elvis | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rodessa Flash | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brilliant Call | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moonovermontgomery | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Love a Fighter | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ru Mor Starter | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Butchy Boy | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Night Train | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Patek | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Major Move | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kara Flash | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Charge the Deal | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Star | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | On the Horizon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Casino Gal | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goodmorning Gracie | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Married for Money | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Artic Sailor | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Racelyn Racy Day | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chou Chou d’Aven (FR) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Halo | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | You’re On Mute | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chief Kimosabi | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Kings | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hexcel | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dustin the Diamond | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Picasso Baby | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alligator Crawl | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Warrior | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Regatta Bay | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chattanooga Crew | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Basile | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crystal d’Oro | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Target | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Rosie | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Amen | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Z | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gap Daddy | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Saberfight | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Dixie Diva | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cece Wave | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unified Love | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Take the Hint | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sly Jack | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Magic | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reckless Love | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arco Thunder | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Duke of Orleans | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Blood | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Avery’s Gem | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alvarado Cat | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adieu Aces | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hawija | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pop’s Peppysteper | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sassi D | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Country Hit | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Battalion Strike | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tripple D Ruller | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Just Ask Watts | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drip d’Oro | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Next Level | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Interlude | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frosty Blue | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | As One Does | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Liam | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Your Man | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bali Rolling Tide | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | High Prince | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | American Vision | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Dr. Niko | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eagle Point | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Storm Strategy | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Donegal Dreamer | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hwy Twenty Ride | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hes the Bomb Too | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Black Cloud | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dixie’s Astro | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Name the Time | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Dept Calling | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Garnet Jubilee | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.