Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Mucho Macho Lady |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Serenity Path |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Coqueta Blue |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Meara’s Wish |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grenache |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Remember |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
R Glorious Life |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Atomic Flea |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Estrella |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Little Gussie |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Looks to Kill |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Musical Power |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hot Cocoa |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kathleen’s Derby |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shesa Mischieflady |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gigi Cake’s |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kate the Smate |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Package |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Cousin Kristi |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ms. Bucchero |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gallop d’Hermes |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rumours Have It |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Win N Your In |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
R Morning Brew |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Magnetic Beach |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Anna Jean |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flatter Fanatic |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Geaux Amy |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boombox Betty |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sunset Harbour |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Violence and Peace |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bee a Queen |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Calling the Shots |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Merlin |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ironsides |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Full Nelson |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Freedom Principle |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jack Kerouac |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
General Ledger |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ninja Star |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Secret Bagent Man |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Master Piece (CHI) |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Samburu (GB) |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Permian Basin |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
La Dolce Vita |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
New Life |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Essential Girl |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fierce Fairshinda |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bodacious Queen |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Amuse Me |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Little Georgie |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Tap Gold |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Nic’s Bro |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
If Not for Luck |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Retained |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cosmic Speculation |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Reverend Moon |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sultan the Great |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Sea Cottage (IRE) |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nero Tulip (GB) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Santo Dios (ARG) |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Musical Design |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Risadita |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Girl in Blue |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Dove Rules |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tree C’s Kai |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shelovestotravel |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Love Actually |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Breezey Z |
30.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Frida |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Su Win |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tigre |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
To the Eastside |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Feeling Macho |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Adios Buster |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Back Em Up |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Frosted Bull |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
El Guty |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
My Voodoo Doll |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Roar Ready |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sticky McShnickens |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gabaldon |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Quizler |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Carcone |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Itza Boss |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smoke an a Pancake |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.