Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Serenity Path | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho Macho Lady | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coqueta Blue | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meara’s Wish | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | R Glorious Life | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Remember | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grenache | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Atomic Flea | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little Gussie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hot Cocoa | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Musical Power | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kate the Smate | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Looks to Kill | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gigi Cake’s | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shesa Mischieflady | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Package | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Estrella | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Kathleen’s Derby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ms. Bucchero | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R Morning Brew | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Win N Your In | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rumours Have It | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cousin Kristi | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gallop d’Hermes | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sunset Harbour | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Violence and Peace | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flatter Fanatic | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bee a Queen | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnetic Beach | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Geaux Amy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Calling the Shots | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boombox Betty | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anna Jean | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | General Ledger | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Master Piece (CHI) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Full Nelson | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ninja Star | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Principle | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jack Kerouac | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Merlin | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Samburu (GB) | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ironsides | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Bagent Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | La Dolce Vita | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Georgie | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fierce Fairshinda | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Essential Girl | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Permian Basin | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New Life | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amuse Me | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bodacious Queen | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tap Gold | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Retained | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | If Not for Luck | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sultan the Great | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nic’s Bro | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reverend Moon | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cosmic Speculation | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Santo Dios (ARG) | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nero Tulip (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Su Win | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shelovestotravel | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love Actually | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Dove Rules | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frida | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Risadita | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Breezey Z | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Musical Design | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tree C’s Kai | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Girl in Blue | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Feeling Macho | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | To the Eastside | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Back Em Up | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Guty | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tigre | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adios Buster | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Frosted Bull | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gabaldon | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sticky McShnickens | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smoke an a Pancake | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Itza Boss | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quizler | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Voodoo Doll | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carcone | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roar Ready | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.