Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | On the Level | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gettinby | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ravens Dream | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Innova | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shan | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nat Gas | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pride’s Prince | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Baxter | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Probale Ten | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | No Mor Stones | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lebombo | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Chalk | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Harbe | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Aerate | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pacific Standard | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tiz My Hero | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tyler’s Turn | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Halfway Joking | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock Concert | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Southern Bullet | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Or Magique | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frosty Beer | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Open Court | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Berniedott | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battle Warrior | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | So Sandy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chunk of Gold | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classicist | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solo Venturi | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Emergence | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncaged | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Urban Planner | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bestfriend Rocket | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Town | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Arbiter | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stop the Car | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emancipation | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chicanery | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Complexed | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fake Smart | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magamak | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Phantom Slayer | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Banker’s Jet | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Hooligan | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Survivin’onaprayer | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halo Music | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Talmadge | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Law of Ozz | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camino | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Belle | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Counterintuitive | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bohemian | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Athenix | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Improbable U | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Forget About You (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Tender Temper | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | All About You | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tikihut | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Temeraire | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Evangalina | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Empress Sisi | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Una Quaedam | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | A. P.’s Girl | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Easter Promise | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clearly Authentic | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Dean Dorton Myrtlewood S.) – Dean Dorton Myrtlewood S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | On Time Girl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kingsolver | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Woodstock | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Counting Stars | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Fine Chardonnay | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Cloud Rising | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Cliffs | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Love You Anyway | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Correto | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tricky Kitty | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bracelet | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Attitude | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aunt Mo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caitlin Time | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Celtic Charm | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Faire Plaisir | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Bread to Run | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Bijou Baby | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quietly | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Meg’s a Star | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sea Runner | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oak Alley | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Generous Tipper | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Capital Idea | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brotha Keny | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hold My Bourbon | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catalytic | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catching Freedom | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trademark | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oscar Eclipse | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Sam | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Bank Of America Valley View S.) – Bank Of America Valley View S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Play With Fire | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Q | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tabiti (GB) | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vixen | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | May Day Ready | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Yes It Tiz | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ramsey Pond | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Somethinabouther | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sturgeon Moon | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Admit | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Next Up | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Totally Justified | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reining Flowers | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Golden Sunshine | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stormy Paradise | 50.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Misinformation | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J J Grey | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capanaparo | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Like Max | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | After Party | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Santinni | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imagine John | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Colt Forty Seven | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Audible | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kid Twist | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | American Bear | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.