Keeneland Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 24, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Innova 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Shan 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Ravens Dream 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Baxter 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Pride’s Prince 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Probale Ten 20.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 On the Level 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Nat Gas 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Gettinby 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 The Chalk 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 Tiz My Hero 8.00 1.9 4-1
12 12 Harbe 4.50 3.1 6-1
10 10 Pacific Standard 6.00 3.6 7-1
15 15 Halfway Joking 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 No Mor Stones 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Frosty Beer 20.00 5 10-1
6 6 Tyler’s Turn 8.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Or Magique 15.00 7.2 14-1
13 13 Southern Bullet 15.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Rock Concert 15.00 9.8 19-1
14 14 Lebombo 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Aerate 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Berniedott 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Battle Warrior 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Open Court 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chunk of Gold 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Solo Venturi 6.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Emergence 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 So Sandy 1.80 2.9 5-1
3 3 Uncaged 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Bestfriend Rocket 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Classicist 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Urban Planner 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Emancipation 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Chicanery 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Complexed 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Banker’s Jet 15.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Mr. Hooligan 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 The Town 4.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Fake Smart 8.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Magamak 10.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Stop the Car 5.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Phantom Slayer 10.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Camino 20.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Halo Music 20.00 9.3 18-1
15 15 Survivin’onaprayer 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Talmadge 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Law of Ozz 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Arbiter 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Improbable U 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Athenix 6.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Counterintuitive 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Kentucky Belle 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Bohemian 4.50 4 8-1
12 12 A. P.’s Girl 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Temeraire 15.00 4.9 9-1
13 13 Tikihut 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Evangalina 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Una Quaedam 20.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Easter Promise 30.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Clearly Authentic 30.00 8.7 16-1
16 16 Empress Sisi 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 All About You 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Tender Temper 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Forget About You (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Dean Dorton Myrtlewood S.) – Dean Dorton Myrtlewood S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 On Time Girl 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 A Fine Chardonnay 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Kingsolver 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Woodstock 3.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Counting Stars 4.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Storm Cloud Rising 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Correto 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Bracelet 6.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Love You Anyway 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Princess Attitude 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Oak Alley 30.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Tricky Kitty 4.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Aunt Mo 10.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 Sea Runner 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Quietly 20.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Caitlin Time 10.00 7.5 14-1
13 13 Bread to Run 15.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Meg’s a Star 20.00 9.4 18-1
16 16 Bijou Baby 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Celtic Charm 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Faire Plaisir 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cliffs 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Generous Tipper 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Catching Freedom 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Capital Idea 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Hold My Bourbon 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Catalytic 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Brotha Keny 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Oscar Eclipse 15.00 4 8-1
5 5 Fort Sam 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Trademark 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Bank Of America Valley View S.) – Bank Of America Valley View S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Classic Q 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Vixen 8.00 1.2 2-1
12 12 May Day Ready 10.00 1.3 2-1
15 15 Next Up 20.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Play With Fire 2.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Tabiti (GB) 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Admit 20.00 4 8-1
5 5 Sturgeon Moon 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Somethinabouther 15.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Totally Justified 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Reining Flowers 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 Stormy Paradise 50.00 10.1 19-1
3 3 Ramsey Pond 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Yes It Tiz 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Golden Sunshine 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Santinni 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 J J Grey 4.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Imagine John 10.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Just Like Max 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Capanaparo 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Misinformation 3.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Perfect Audible 20.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 After Party 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Kid Twist 30.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 American Bear 30.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Colt Forty Seven 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.