Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hamlin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Momissioner | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Benandonner | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Life At Sea | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storm On the Beach | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Withering Gaze | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Down the Islands | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kitty Code | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stumpy’s Love Song | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cash Follows Me | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ima Bling Cat | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Man | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elusive Power | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fort Hood | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Wave James | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Touchdown Oklahoma | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Rockets Red Flair | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call of Honor | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Breeze | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Sr. Bi Bi | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Affectionto Autism | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dose’s Dream | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Wife Is Right | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Our Moon Pie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warhammer | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Social Sooner | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blame Da Stoops | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Right Cider | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gospel Gentleman | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chi Town Road | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seven Devils Road | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tough Trooper | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jeano | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Soulfire | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ore Mine | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Berry Mischievous | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beau Day | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ihavetoomuchair | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Warrior | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Windtapper Win | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shaggy Edge | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | County Judge | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | After Burn | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wec Keah | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Gambler | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Annie’s Joy | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kentucky Angel | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Get Ready Gal | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beachya | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Practical | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Balmorhea | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | West Code Lady | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easter Gift | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back Then Rite Now | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elegant Okie | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zayla | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Code Aurie | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Cougars Den | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brielle | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Witt’s Gone West | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Thingstocome | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gospel Darlene | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Misty Chatter | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sweat | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shake That Thing | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cashmeup | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mackinnon | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu S S | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Jaws | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sensical | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | T Bones Trick | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Logical Myth | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ben Diesel | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Night Passage | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Determined Lover | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Paynt Ball | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Den’s Dynasty | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Norway Beach | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Da Chief | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yougotthisjr | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simmeron | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mission Lockout | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Swiftwind | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bang Bang Fury | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Miskellieanne | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Mozetti | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sabres | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ready | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cashmere Dancer | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mysidehustle | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boltoro | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iuka Miss | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty in Pearls | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ngala | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.