Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hello Stranger | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swiftlet | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Rosso | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Presence | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lover Boy Mo | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toronto City | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Little Red Domi | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Arkle | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fairway to Heaven | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Heat Merchant | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Slips | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Baby Henry | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cabernaydo | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Computer Hacker | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maximus Magic | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fascination Street | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gendragon | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tourist’s Dream | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Orphan Hallie | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Winston Blue | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Valley Victory | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | U S Army Corps | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wilberforce | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Reload | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Forester | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yorkville | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Fortune | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Guildsman (FR) | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Causin’ Mayhem | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Walter Me Lad | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ever Dangerous | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Palio | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lasting Silence | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hemlo Gold | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Penner Ash (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chill the J | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chairman Bob | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Malibu Mambo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mad Dog N Joe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | El Kabong | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Intent | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sailor’s Passion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | One More Brew | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fanore (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Souper Iconic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shinigami | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guard of Honour | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Benlion | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awe Inspired | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quandale | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ask in My Name | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Echo With Laughter | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mannix (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blazing Bo | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Storm | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Break the Spell | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Country Living | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alpha Kadin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mymathes Correct | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chambers | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pin Boy | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rhumbaba | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sol de Verano | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arami’s Speighster | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ride for the Purse | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monday Morning | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.