Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
It Ain’t Like That |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Caroom’s Croupier |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Well Received |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bella Blu Moon |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
St. Tammany |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hay Y’all |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shesabeast |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Madoria |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Classical Echo |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Nomoretanlines |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Honest Angus |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mathurine |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wicklow Gal |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Forgotten Fortune |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
No Map Needed |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Magic Glass |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
North of Richmond |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Doc B Raney |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ahooga |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dauntless Star |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lil Henry |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Imma Deal |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hadda Have It |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kanon’s Parole |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Big Tap Baby |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stiff Drink |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Twofexusnexus |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Red Idol |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Throwin’ Shade |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Slew City Henry |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Game and Gormley |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Joey’s Lightening |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Country Guy |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Star Ready |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
The Thimble |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gobot |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Pyromania |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Not Behavin |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
C Mac Da Boss |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jamesy’s Empire |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Berndt Marshmallow |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Friendly Hint |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Downtown Motown |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Courtman |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Steauxlit |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Detective Bernardo |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Empire Kid |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Half Again |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Top Priority |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Samurai’s Grandson |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sunset War |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pinch Me a Penny |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Proven Hope |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Call My Banker |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
All West |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cowan |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Summer Lover |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Run Carlos |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sparra |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Like This |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Texas Holdem |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Classic Warrior |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Handsome Harold |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ocean Jackpot |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Running Bayou |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pennys Deal |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Daddy’s Finest |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Catalina Day |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Flashy Boy |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Shesasmalltowngirl |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dinahs Girl |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Too Much Guitar |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Embrasser |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Cheese Bread |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Break Out Sister |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mallory’s Ocean |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kancancutie |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
Inez |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mor Mor Music |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
School Teacher |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
11 |
11 |
This Gray Mischiev |
20.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.