Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | It Ain’t Like That | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Well Received | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | St. Tammany | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shesabeast | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madoria | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caroom’s Croupier | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hay Y’all | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bella Blu Moon | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classical Echo | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wicklow Gal | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nomoretanlines | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mathurine | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forgotten Fortune | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honest Angus | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Map Needed | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Glass | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | North of Richmond | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doc B Raney | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dauntless Star | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Henry | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imma Deal | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ahooga | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kanon’s Parole | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hadda Have It | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stiff Drink | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Idol | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twofexusnexus | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Game and Gormley | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Tap Baby | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Country Guy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Ready | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joey’s Lightening | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Slew City Henry | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gobot | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | The Thimble | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Throwin’ Shade | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | C Mac Da Boss | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pyromania | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Not Behavin | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Friendly Hint | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Berndt Marshmallow | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Downtown Motown | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jamesy’s Empire | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Courtman | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Half Again | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Top Priority | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empire Kid | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Samurai’s Grandson | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pinch Me a Penny | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunset War | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Detective Bernardo | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Steauxlit | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Call My Banker | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cowan | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proven Hope | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All West | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Holdem | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sparra | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Like This | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Carlos | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Warrior | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Lover | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Handsome Harold | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ocean Jackpot | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Running Bayou | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Boy | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catalina Day | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pennys Deal | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy’s Finest | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Cheese Bread | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dinahs Girl | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Embrasser | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kancancutie | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shesasmalltowngirl | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mallory’s Ocean | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Break Out Sister | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | School Teacher | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Too Much Guitar | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Inez | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mor Mor Music | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | This Gray Mischiev | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.