Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Birch Run | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mi Amada | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seraphina Sea | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keepsake Box | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | R Slew of Cash | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trill | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hurricane Opus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Duchess Eleanor | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ivey My Love | 50.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | River Blossom | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tiadoro | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Royal Retinue (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Maerdama | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Motown Omi | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Back to Gridlock | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Plum Irish | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chosen Factor | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chill Bean | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Country Economics | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Il Suo Oro | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bianka Heart | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vuela Paloma | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Golden Ambition | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beybe Beto | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gigline | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Go Astray | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Polizon | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One of a Kind | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chance On Me | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chicken Dance | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gray Beast | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | U Lite Up My Life | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Go Philly | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Girvin Girl | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twizzle | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Girvin Star | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Art | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sara’s Rose | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bal de Mar | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ditched | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seeking a Prayer | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Attending | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Irene | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pocket Pair | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Apple Shake Shake | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Corona Princess | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Worth Considering | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | C. S. Vivace | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ihaveissues | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | La Rodada | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | If I Can Dream | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Walk the Night | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roger That Dana | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Playful Pal | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Esoooo | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Only the Lonely | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gimme Me Bit | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Light Fury | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Salvattore Prince | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clear Destination | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vladislav | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Battle of Dover | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Control | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunshine Frolic | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Guildenstern (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Preach | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Selecto | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spy Hunter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | The Honeyman | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Evolution | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Willow Case | 1.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dakota’s Lil Auror | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fly Life | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Triple Threat | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nour | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Make Your Wish | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Our Dear Peggy S.) – Our Dear Peggy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Storm’s Wake | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit Doll | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Picky | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Y’allreadyforthis | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vita Mia | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spicy Princess | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bayou Brigid | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Torch | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | That Police | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bert’s Knoty Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dandona | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Motown Mika | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Hot Spark | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miguel’s Belle | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minxy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Anthem | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Action | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moor Strength | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Take Notes | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foxy Lady | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Seawise | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ski Bum | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Excuses | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Animated | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Milazzo | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flag Officer | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Big Bob | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Lazarus | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Great Hunt | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Power | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speaker’s Lobby | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | El Muheet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Capt’n Pike | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.