Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Colonial Rose | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mercy Warren | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Our Liberty Belle | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Romantic Dancer | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Savannamarie | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backstretch Rose | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Calisue | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Auratium | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jackie’s Love | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Dig | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Angelas Party Girl | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Q Bond | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Maginnesontap | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Law | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Remember Mamba | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Petoskey Stones | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hamunaptra | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Freestate | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Go for Rocket | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Massachusetts | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Burden of Dreams | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Adir | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Still Sober | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starmetal | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buckley Gold Water | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aguila Negra | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Our Pretty Woman | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neon Icon | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Low Country Magic | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chilled | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cat’s Cave | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rose Palace | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gracie’s Delight | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Muffin Music | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leedu | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sonic Sass | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bella Street | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Lady Upstart | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jackie Blue | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Easy Kiss | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Viv | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Auddie | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lets Shance It | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | No Time Left | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Traject | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shot At Perfection | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Myrna | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Rhapsody in Blue | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mount Horeb | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Swirling Eights | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Copp | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bite and Strike | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Operation Torch | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Global Prosperity | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Ceiling | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pineland | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Obelisk | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Frosty Indulgence | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Timing Difference | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Wakan | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Hiding in Honduras | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joejoe Go | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Toga d’Oro | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pnutbutter Whiskey | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Bowman Mill S.) – Bowman Mill S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spun D M C | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heartily | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Outfielder | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gallivant | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strategic Reserve | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Deeds | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Kick | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Paris Lily | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quickick | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yes It Tiz | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nerazurri | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disco Rules | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Seraphine | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Conch Fried Rice | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Ruthless | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bryan Station S.) – Bryan Station S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Giocoso | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Final Gambit | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Plensa | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Salamis | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Troubleshooting | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Simulate | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tenacious Leader | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Afternoon | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Antisocial | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Jimmy’s Dailys | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Day and Age | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dream On | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Calvin’s Ride | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Game Warrior | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mesero | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Hagyard Fayette S.) – Hagyard Fayette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bracket Buster | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dragoon Guard | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gosger | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hit Show | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lambeth | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rattle N Roll | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dilger (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Marie | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Best Actor | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Power | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chambersville | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Epic Horsepower | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leverage | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Kid Charlemagne | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Surfer’s Joy | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wargamer (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Practical Joker | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Triton | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Causeway | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Prince | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ramblin | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Hayes Goal | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Athletic Like | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Apollo’s Glory | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chatterfield | 50.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.