Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Our Liberty Belle | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Savannamarie | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angelas Party Girl | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Auratium | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Backstretch Rose | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Romantic Dancer | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Calisue | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Colonial Rose | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Dig | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Q Bond | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mercy Warren | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jackie’s Love | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Maginnesontap | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Burden of Dreams | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Still Sober | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Freestate | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Massachusetts | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Petoskey Stones | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aguila Negra | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Remember Mamba | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Adir | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starmetal | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Go for Rocket | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buckley Gold Water | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Law | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hamunaptra | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Our Pretty Woman | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cat’s Cave | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Neon Icon | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Low Country Magic | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chilled | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rose Palace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gracie’s Delight | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sonic Sass | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lets Shance It | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Easy Kiss | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Muffin Music | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jackie Blue | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leedu | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bella Street | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Viv | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Auddie | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rhapsody in Blue | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Traject | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shot At Perfection | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | No Time Left | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lady Upstart | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Myrna | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mount Horeb | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Swirling Eights | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pineland | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Copp | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toga d’Oro | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joejoe Go | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Timing Difference | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Frosty Indulgence | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bite and Strike | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pnutbutter Whiskey | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Operation Torch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Obelisk | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Wakan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Global Prosperity | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Hiding in Honduras | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | High Ceiling | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Bowman Mill S.) – Bowman Mill S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gallivant | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heartily | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spun D M C | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Kick | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strategic Reserve | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Outfielder | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Just Deeds | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Disco Rules | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Seraphine | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yes It Tiz | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quickick | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paris Lily | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Ruthless | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Conch Fried Rice | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nerazurri | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bryan Station S.) – Bryan Station S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Golden Afternoon | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream On | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Final Gambit | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Giocoso | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Troubleshooting | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Antisocial | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Simulate | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Plensa | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Salamis | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tenacious Leader | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Game Warrior | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mesero | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Day and Age | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Calvin’s Ride | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Jimmy’s Dailys | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Hagyard Fayette S.) – Hagyard Fayette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dragoon Guard | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hit Show | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gosger | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rattle N Roll | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lambeth | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlight | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of Power | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dilger (IRE) | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bracket Buster | 3.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Best Actor | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Marie | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Epic Horsepower | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chambersville | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Triton | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ramblin | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Leverage | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Prince | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Causeway | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Practical Joker | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Surfer’s Joy | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wargamer (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chatterfield | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Athletic Like | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hayes Goal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Kid Charlemagne | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Apollo’s Glory | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.