Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mo Town Gold | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Okie Bandit | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Passed Promise | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Howboutcha | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Captain Flatter | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | West of Town | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Am What I Am | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cody the Kid | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Native Storyteller | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Engine Ninety Nine | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mud Creek | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sandthefloor | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | High Spark | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tresillian | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fine Tuned | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Box a Rocks | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mitole’s Limit | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flash Humor | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cabo Mischief | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Crew | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smackdown | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Final Decree | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Missing Code | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Light the Code | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In Bond We Trust | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wrinkle Road | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wristband | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tucker Flats | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Leviathan Axe | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Brave Okie | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Risky With Whiskey | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | One Time Mark | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Gunner | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Message | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devil’s Mischief | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Turquoise Blue | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stoney Brick Road | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mohaymen Holiday | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Chief Lady | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Star Parking | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saint Sarena | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Successfulpath | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormy’s Revenge | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Icy River | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Accelerate Judy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yvonne’s Miss | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookatchu | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Singing Emma | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blue Light | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strike Ridge | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stage Left | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J. P. Race | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prayforpeace | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Dancer | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Threefiftyseven | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mikel W | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ryvit | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dean’s List | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Second I D | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | General Shipman | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zavala | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Favorite Outlaw | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hezakoolkat | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Not a Lady | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alisal | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Pink | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toddy | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Double L’s Army | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Taylor | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Penny | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scattered Mischief | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Appeals Last Ride | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fully Funded | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bearly Distracted | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flatter Me Daily | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Kween’s King | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Snazzy Man | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magical Max | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Midnight Talker | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Merlin the Red | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Stoops Tornado | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Gospel Don | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince Nikolai | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Choctaw Cat | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Double Rap | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gospel Up | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Battle Pass Posse | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.