Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Time to Shine | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aleramo (IRE) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Willa T | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | With Love (GB) | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Church Lady (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happyasaclam (IRE) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Tokyo City Cup S.) – Tokyo City Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pony Express | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Privman | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gaming | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mining District | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blacksmith | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Acknowledgemeplz | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rio Grande | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Postmodern | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easy Company | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Into the Hall | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neko | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magnificat | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Donata | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sparrow | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Gem | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Twilight Derby) – Twilight Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Test Score | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Namaron (GER) | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scipio | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Septembersixtyfour | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maaz (FR) | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tapalo | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Call Zondlo | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drop Um | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tougherthantherest | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Fly Stand By | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cody Boy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runkerry | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Ratings Handicap) – Ratings Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Impact (GB) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Lizzy | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spicybug | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imaboutago (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Antifona (FR) | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Other Like You | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 98 | Woodbine Way | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Rousing Jewel | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Rousing Babe | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Danzing Cat | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Rose of Jericho | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Cioppina Pasadina | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Ryder’s Candy | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Misty Dancer | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devine Marina | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Munnings Tale | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 10 | Dress Rehearsal | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Self Sufficient | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No More Ding Dongs | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ario | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kitten in Charge | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Call Paul | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Targaryis | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lobdell Lake | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Goblin | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ya’ll Come | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | One Big Smile | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fincairn | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky’s Loaded | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Six Hot Grands | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Formidable Threat | 50.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mayacama | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tina Turner | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princesa Del Tigre | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Wildcat | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Garden Party | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nanci Griffith | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Back On Track | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sei Bella | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.