Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Souper Vinnie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Please Don’t Go | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Professor Reload | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Friendly | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arrakasta Izan | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ginger’s Holiday | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carrick On Stage | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Just a Gem | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adapted | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good King Sam | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Audax Minor | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shamateur | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Graffiti Writer | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jay Bird | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Katherine’s Gem | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard to Capture | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Sunday | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Very Savvy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Linda’s Opal | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holiday With Amy | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Private Label | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jaggersgotagun | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Cohete | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Countryboysurvive | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weller Green | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Vista | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | True Shot | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princecrest | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Apeldoorn | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Capo | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deputy Curlin | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mind and Muscle | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wonderful Quality | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Instant Response | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Lee | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eubank | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mad World | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Falstaff | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Semper Liber | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Waitingforaholiday | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smoke McLeod | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Named Firey | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Cape | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Roar of the Crowd | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Isaac Leo | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carnew | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Westminster | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prime Plus One | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Demba | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captivating Name | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Town | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Overskate S.) – Overskate S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Bourbon | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cruden Bay | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rapid Test | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hunt Master | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Society’s Thunder | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No More Options | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Phillip My Wine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Trip Aces | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aethelflaed (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Perfect | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Accelerando | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kamasi | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chasing Memories | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prime Edge | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Yorkton’s Honour | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thor’s Cause | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thornbury | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Its in the Cards | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lost Star | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Decision | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sprung Loose | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holiday Snooze | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | English Actor | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skyro | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Legal Catch | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jayhawk | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Westside Tide | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Mambo | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | C My Meister | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sedburys Ghost | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lost Ark | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.