Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Credit Risk | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Never Heather | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daniella Marie | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grit N Glitter | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clarividente | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sparkling Mama | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sion’s Rose | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Factory Setting | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chartist | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baseball Lady | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic in My Eyes | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fonzi Angel | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gwen to Win | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Espresso Tini | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Probable Choice | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | National Identity | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | What’s Up Bro | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yo Banana Boy | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | On the Hill | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stewie | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Braciole | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cicciobello | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Margarita Molly | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Absolute Smoke | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Currency | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hire the Hat | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R U Bluffing | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Power of Women | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mathea | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bouquetry | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pencima | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | The Obliterator | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Browns Town | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Stream It | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snickery | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mo Spice | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rafa Junior | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Golden Rule | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lexington Pike | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Last Page | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Foolish Mortal | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gaborone | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Natural Shooter | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Introubleagain | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exhibition Only | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnum’s Macrobrst | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Overseer | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kuchar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Power Seeker | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Flash | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Best Bet | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lost in Rome | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hours in a Day | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suerte | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bad Larry | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Collect the Data | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast and Frisky | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Embraceable Gal | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midtown Lights | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ah Ca Ira | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mitole’s Girl | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Bobbie | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Monetary Monarch | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shezanarcticqueen | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Poppy’s Ticket | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Chris’s Song | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Orie | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sammy C Note | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Alzero | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tomschickenfingers | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Out of the Fog | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rhyton | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pazz the Soy Sauce | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fric and Frac | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Makeyourmoment | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Killybegs Kid | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Until Last Call | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lodato | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Strobe Light | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It a Lee | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.