Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Medici | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luck Lucky (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Charlemagne | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iriseach (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Army Man | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Toro | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prime Artist (FR) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Biggiebiggiebiggie | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Western Freedom | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winds of Freedom | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Far Western | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Panuco | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unbreakable Trust | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Abboudy Run | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fly Zapper | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brigante | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honey’s Choice | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Green Screen | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raging Inferno | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Born to Rock | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whynotanotherone | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keagman (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American King | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | One Smokin Dude | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Machupicchu | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cultural | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Connection | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tee N Off | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Rain | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Delightful Laura | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Angelic Appeal (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starts Now | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Joker | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Sienna (ARG) | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motet | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Esmeray (IRE) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amelia’s Echo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clubhouse Cutie | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | West Fresno | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surfin Candy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | By the Moonlight | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Kimmie | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Turkey Bird | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ante Up Tony | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Let It Ride S.) – Let It Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Friendly Confines | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Geometry | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lyle The Crocodile (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tempus Volat | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mescalero | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bodi Zafa | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hiding in Honduras | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tommy Norris | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Another Bulleit | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mystic Moses | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rocky Colavito | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joker Went Wild | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eye of the Smiley | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Low Tox | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Start the Ride | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cabal | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kiki Ride | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mesa Verde | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Take Another Card | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ambaya | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ribbons | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Mizen Queen (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Resolve | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tigerish | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cat The Confidante (IRE) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Madonna of Loreto | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lila | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Polythene Pam | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Lil Lady | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.