Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Luck Lucky (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Medici | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Biggiebiggiebiggie | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Charlemagne | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Iriseach (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Toro | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Army Man | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prime Artist (FR) | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Western Freedom | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Far Western | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbreakable Trust | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winds of Freedom | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Panuco | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Abboudy Run | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fly Zapper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Honey’s Choice | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brigante | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Born to Rock | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whynotanotherone | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Green Screen | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keagman (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American King | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raging Inferno | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Machupicchu | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Connection | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Smokin Dude | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cultural | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Rain | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tee N Off | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Starts Now | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Joker | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Sienna (ARG) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motet | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Delightful Laura | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Esmeray (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Angelic Appeal (IRE) | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amelia’s Echo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Turkey Bird | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | West Fresno | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clubhouse Cutie | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Surfin Candy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | By the Moonlight | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Kimmie | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ante Up Tony | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Let It Ride S.) – Let It Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Friendly Confines | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tempus Volat | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Geometry | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mescalero | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bodi Zafa | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lyle The Crocodile (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hiding in Honduras | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mystic Moses | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eye of the Smiley | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Another Bulleit | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kiki Ride | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mesa Verde | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cabal | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Joker Went Wild | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocky Colavito | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Low Tox | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Start the Ride | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tommy Norris | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cat The Confidante (IRE) | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Take Another Card | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ribbons | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Resolve | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ambaya | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Lil Lady | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lila | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Mizen Queen (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tigerish | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Polythene Pam | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Madonna of Loreto | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.