Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | While I | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Endless Skyway | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | All in Okie | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Regal Son | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rev’s Tomb | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Dreamy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Protonico | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | K Q Spirit | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | E Money | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tresillian | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | When Smokey Sings | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Close Call | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Hennessy | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bobcat Bite | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flash Humor | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Affixed | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Waylon’s Guitar | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slades Tank | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ship the Money | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Kitty | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run Pistol Magic | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hillbilly Up | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Speed It Up | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Name | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shanghai Cupid | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flight Check | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Astro Beau | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | His Way | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Game Time Decision | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Fahrenheit | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magic Shipman | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Callitfateluckarma | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crystal Claire | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Fancy | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mucho Mia | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gospel Expression | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ilikeher | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seattle Wildcat | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lamentable Jarin | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | United Sister | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Echo | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | A. P.’s Secret | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wish Man | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ambiguous | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cloudy Past | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sixhoofsevenhoof | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flying Tex | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Griffin | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Renton | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buck O Five | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Union | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jets Rio | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | L R Superstar | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Friday Night Fever | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pontotoc | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Most Probable | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bang Boom | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Cajun Gatsby | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Adogate | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coaster | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Caleb’s Finest | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arr Piratetreasure | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ooh La Da Stoops | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Balmorhea | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olivia’s Race Day | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Courageous Cappen | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ruby’s Ghost | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | McMusic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rickie Roooo Ster | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D. A.’s Favorite | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knock’em Out Jerry | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Bishop Creek | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Hopkinsville | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Constitutionreview | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cruzin for Gurls | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Tom | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oklahoma Flame | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Stepbrotheraustin | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Out With Ty | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rockets Blaze | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Enigma Code | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Kid Commish | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Final Bet | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.