Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | King’s Leap | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Senegal | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Tiger | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solo Empire | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Concorde Spirit | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toga Dan | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Resilient Hero | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Tempted S.) – Tempted S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spa Prospector | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Believable | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secane | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Day to Day | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shilling | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | High Beta | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exact Estimate | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit Prince | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Majesty (GB) | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Titan | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Top Gun Rocket | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Ways | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sheriff Bianco | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crushed It | 3.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Investment Mandate | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cocoa’s Vivian | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Problematica | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Proud Foot | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jackson’s Dixie | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Defended | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Return | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edistrudis | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackie the Joker | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Enlighten | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tut’s Revenge | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tabeguache | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wonderful Justice (GB) | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ruse | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Skylander | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bay Street Money | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Paddock Pastor | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frank’s Art | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Brew Pub | 4.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scat Tu Tap | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Laird of Magnolia | 20.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Lister | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hellacious | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Momentum Files | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snare | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Policy Change | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dew | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Private Flight | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Billy White Shoes (IRE) | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Into Inspiration | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fiddling Felix | 3.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | How About It | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joker On Fire | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Party With Smarty | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sequential | 6.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hey Cookie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Geez Eloise | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tower Twenty Two | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | M J’s Yoshida | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Air | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adrian | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Looks First | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen in the Deck | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Pumpkin Pie S.) – Pumpkin Pie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nic’s Style | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alani | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Weigh the Risks | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | St. Benedicts Prep | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patricia Ann | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taliesin | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Volleyballprincess | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scalable | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maggy’s Palace | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Salt Princess | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | River Empress | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Magical | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mariposa Moon | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Karey | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angelic Quality | 3.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mappy | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doppio Espresso | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Valiant Diva | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Noisetomakenoise | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kef | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tapit Back | 12.00 | 12.4 | 24-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Bad Habit | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.