Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | My Southern Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Surprise Sunrise | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Route | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Juan | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Never Walk Alone | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Picosita | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brand Bois | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Timeformargaritas | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lundigrasmambo | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Onedayatatime | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Madame Markievicz | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kisses for Cooper | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bet Towinit | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Cheer | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ocean Jet | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shamay | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Love | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gracie Diamond | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tap Galore | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | One Sweet Deal | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Warrior | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be Back Again | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What a Hangover | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Q | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Just Simple | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Deeana | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Educated Wish | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Louisiana Woman | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Floating | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Easy Bet | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mission Belle | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gee Gee | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dream Town | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Destiny | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lexington Diva | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Backfire | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rhum Saint Esprit | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kinsman Redeemer | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Silver Redesdale | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby’s Last Dance | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steel Argument | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Ramirez | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Josan | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Temple City Run | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Play Mo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pacificislandtime | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Ami | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peso Pesado | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cabro Toro | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunday Breeze | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Them Justin | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muffin Nuts | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Heist | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lauri’s Wish | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Life Is a Banquet | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half Brother | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iron in the Fire | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jeffrow | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | McLaren Vale | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sivako | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uxmal | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Comanche Warrior | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sonya Knows Better | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Seasonal Love | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Didja | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Loudermilk | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paynted Blue | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Rojo Vivo | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classy Socks | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flashy Lover | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Konawa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr Liam and Alan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mischievous Rumor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blume | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hudson’s Day | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rexinator | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zippy Toga | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Muncle | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kee Jee | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Misterholyroller | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischevious Robert | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Native Requite | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A True Target | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Beaudean | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gibson | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.