Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Commemorative | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Roll | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Katarzyna | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sugar Magnolia (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flaming Spirit | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dona Luna | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roberta | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance Hall Diva | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Now Dearie | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Far Away Eyes | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Who Says So | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Artist Mark | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blo By’em | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Straight to Water | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muthabir | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Half a League | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flighttown | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella’s Password | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iamdependingonyou | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Watch Me Sparkle | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | God I Need a Favor | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Disney Belle | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ever Yours | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bulma | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Katie’s Notion | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Noah Chance | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Icing | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Bourbon Boss | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kendama | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Heaven Street | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Whirlwind Ride | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Island d’Lite | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Bullion Bomber (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freestanding | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Upsidedown Man | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Moncrief | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Horse (ARG) | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Claudee Boy | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speak Unity | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Estilo Magico | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Juniper’s Jubilee | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cupid’s Choice | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bay West | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ready to Dial | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kiss Me Mo | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celtic Harp | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Good Girl | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barbados Bulldog | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Lis | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Borracho | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brother Conway | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Vargo | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freeze the Fire | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | B West | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Backnthewoods | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woodline | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Way Farrior | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heldish | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Endless Horizons | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Christmas Jones | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | More Than a Notion | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sin Boldly | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Omahamoiselle | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dutchman’s Map | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ginger Snap | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Clearly Sophia | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Santiana | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | As the Bell Toles | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Common Sense | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Striking Finale | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Beverly Crusher | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paynted by Nancy | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Speedy Trial | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kelsey Hill Girl | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Whocouldaskformo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rowsie Express | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reply | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | How Sweet She Is | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paradise Wins | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meg | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Audibly | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Maclean’s Rook | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | All the Hardways | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magical Mondays | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Davyjonz | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dominguez | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elusive Image | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Roll On Jesse | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thataway | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Krone | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alvy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Rod Kitty | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Genieinabridle | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ribbonsinherhair | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skip Thru Da Fire | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Watch Your Tone | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heleonortiz | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Melodia | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.