Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Dance | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Derek’s Law | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Surge | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit Dragon | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tapwrits Temper | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Detail Oriented | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Arc | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Amundson | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burninhunkoflove | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cathedral Beach | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dot’s Dollar | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Wisdom | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laughing Boy | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Victory | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wit Storm | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Blessing | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Life Is Gravy (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Brooklyn | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Where’s Your Boom | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sixer | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Isle | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Bid | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Nashua S.) – Nashua S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Probably Dreaming | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tough Guy Tony | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My World | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Day One Starter | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empire of Glory | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Black Rose | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scorch | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Great Actress | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | South Philly Slide | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bashful Baby | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marajoline | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Medium Cool | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Santiana | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Princess | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Copper Caduceus | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catholic Vice | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beside You | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Alma’s Law | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kay Road | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Time to Win | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Radauti | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love’m Or Liam | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gualillo | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salvation | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Copious | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bermuda Triangle | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Life and Times | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Terminal Velocity | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Annexperience | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El de Larry | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amplitude | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mo Kreesa | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moe Eighty Eight | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zapruder | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charles J | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Run Happy Pappy | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Landauer | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sebastianthe First | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mo for the King | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Undisputed | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Jim | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ranger Battalion | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Three B’s | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Timaeus | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wistucky | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jungle Glow | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shattuck | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Spun | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gamebred | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.) – Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Everest (GB) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outlaw Kid | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fierce and Strong | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Buck | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Niagara Skyline | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Incinerator | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knockanara | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nothing Better | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gatsby | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Damon’s Mound | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bouncer | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Over and Ollie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Barksdale | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Favorable Scenario | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bosun | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cuando | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocketeer | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Capitol Hill | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiger Twenty Four | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brit’s Wit | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Executive Order | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ohio Joe | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snookie Bear | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Chileno | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dreamlike | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Ripple | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Playa Del Mar | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dettori | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Retouch (FR) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.