Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Alice Fantastic | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Sunshine | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queenmother | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mia Counting | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fireflyer | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Jane | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Refined Elaine | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Second Best | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Celestial Dark | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three Captains | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Grayt Pumpkin | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Cory Run | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time Tested | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marine Patrol | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vino Gray | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Housebuster Dude | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Accelerated Dating | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Filled With Desire | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom’s Echo | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Larry | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zanduhoc | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frost Mountain | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scheduling Dude | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jerry’s Turn | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No No Joe | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seven Anniversary | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiempo Perfecto | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twentyeighttothree | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Aficionado | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Omaha Eight | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rivalry | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Onlygodcanjudgeme | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vini Vidi Vici | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Modern Midas | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Real Men Violin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Million | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smile Maker | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atrocious | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Dream | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alchemism | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prince Colton | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Porter | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magnificent Mile | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Moon | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Admiral’s Wave | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncaptured Star | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secured Landing | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Otter Mischief | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jester Sang | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Centaur Central | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lion in the Sun | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vix | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rogue Prince | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | El Tamalero | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gunman Jayvo | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gus’ Ten | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laughatyourenemies | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.