Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jackman’s Ride | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Beat Brian | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stayed in for Half | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoff | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Twentyone N Change | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bye | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Lorenzo | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gabarra | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Wayside | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Business as Usual | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy N Smiling | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Prairie Brat | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pondicherry | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cabo Cowgirl | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | West Texas Ruby | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Presleys Volley | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | An Awesome Legacy | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rockitretta | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lottery Ticket | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Total Insanity | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foolish Affair | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unbridled Kisses | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Say as I Say | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | War Hawk | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ammenthedestroyer | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laridae | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Euromantic | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Absaroka | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vienna Prize | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R D C Posse | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sword of Gold | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hero Time | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | West Code Mischief | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tizabellarina | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jerry’s Lady | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Queen | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunday Night Code | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Let’sgojlo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chitoz’s Blur | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eurpurdy | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swift Delight | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucked Out | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Illustrator | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kentucky Dawn | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Swimmer | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Parkway | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’task Don’ttell | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magna Tap | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Team Leader | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Moon Cat | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imua Kai | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit of Spoatie | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sarge’s Sermon | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Team Gormley | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Coffee Caliente | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mach Two | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ethical Judgement | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coastal Brink | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mo Saturdays | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Send Off | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Shadowless | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Giant | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Summerbird | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cherokee Sunrise | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quarterly Report | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | R Doc | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Worth Looking | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rodeo Champ | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hello Hot Rod | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mor Lana Spirit | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Stoops | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Washita Valley | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gospel Mark | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boozeintheblender | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brody’s Chrome | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sutter Bug | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atreidesreflection | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Peak Earnings (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Doudoudouwanadance | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Davina | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cafezinho | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Express | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Practical | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | County Slugger | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Prime Number | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Warm Days | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnolia Princess | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Writ | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kiamichi | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Movie Ticket | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Mission | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Glory Bound | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bling’s Artwork | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daretocatchlove | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cashout Carol | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nalla D | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Spellbound | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.