Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Turnback The Alarm S.) – Turnback The Alarm S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Standoutsensation | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tipple | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Central Avenue | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ruth | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indy Label | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Buntus Foclora | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rebel Instinct | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double Act | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hadrian’s Wall | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swiss Army Knife | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Concrete Bolt | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Celtic Motif (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Milk Punch | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tellus Mater | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Private Property (IRE) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shirl’s Delight | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Laylani Lou | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Every Vote Counts (GB) | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Relevate | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Addressable Market (IRE) | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pay the Bills (FR) | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Trango Tower | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Raghba | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | High Note | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Snide | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Forty Niner S.) – Forty Niner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bishops Bay | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scotland | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nelson Avenue | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Light the Way | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Over and Ollie | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coastal Mission | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Army Proud | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Newman | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vibrant Express | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eighty Gold | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liberty Rising | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rout | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aetherium | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Merciless | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soul Makossa | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Let’s Get Weird | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Curly Q Girl | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Concurrently | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smitten | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baffle | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irresistible | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cara Fiore | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Essence L Vee | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Come On Get Happy | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz the Lady | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Red Smith S.) – Red Smith S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Limited Liability | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cugino | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Common Defense | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Desvio | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleetfoot (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancin in Da’nile | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nothing Better | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Chocolat (BRZ) | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Live High Live Low | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Step Forward | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boltage | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bonus Move | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | J J Zo Zo | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Invasion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Final Verdict | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ridgewood Runner | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Vettriano | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Bold Ruler S.) – Bold Ruler S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Buccherino | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Nelson | 8.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nutella Fella | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Damon’s Mound | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Subrogate | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full Moon Madness | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bouncer | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Golden Gorilla | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Growth Trajectory (GB) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lying by Omission (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Cami | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toes | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stamp of Approval | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thiene (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toasted Roll | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blame the Banker | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fortuna Mia | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All Night Revival | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Champagne Surprise | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Save Us Melania | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Broadway Lights | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Virgin Colada | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mazayaat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Greyjoy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Lil Army Girl | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Just a Click | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tuthilltown | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Sats | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Italianne | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unmiztaken | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fairy Godmother | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Need to Panic | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | So Tru | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whatta Weekend | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hudson River Line | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lady Rose | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kaz Farm Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.