Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Morlock | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Matinee Idol | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barb | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tap Me a Song | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Diamond | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empire Ranch | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | American Pearl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quick to Charm | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sensing Flatter | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonhador | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whitethorn | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pronghorn | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Give Her Another | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Antique Silver | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Up the Creek | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commanded | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risuko | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keyana | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | River Rise | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dreaming of June | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Gossip | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Upstart | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Firebird Suite | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful McKinzie | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Little Crazy | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Two Seven O | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr Fenn | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vino Subito | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Free Choice | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreamofyou | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Bee Gone | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Munny | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Forgot to Ask | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Arlington | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Promises to Dance | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Current Climate | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Breeze | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Lover | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lover Girl | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always Angels | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bolt On the Rocks | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Reckless | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mister Punch | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alghero | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wolfcamp | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scuffle | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Au Naturel | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crypto Cory | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miskell | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flaming Rainbow | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Princess Madison | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amarth | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hush It Honey | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flash Wear | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Squall | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zun Day | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bye Bye Brady | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mayweather | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Into Battle | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fuoco Vivo | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vekoma Velocity | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rochester | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Talmadge | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Janey’s Flyin | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Boy Thunder | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit of a Walkon | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.