Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Johnson | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Porches | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | North of Bali | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spoken Code | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Come On Mulitch | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Peyton’s Day | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quaternion | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crue’s N Control | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ru Mor Starter | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charbon | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deftly Done | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | City Park | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crimson Storm | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B Minor | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ells | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moro Mafia | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Country Guy | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heartthrob Halo | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Into Wishing | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mor Big Lee | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bello Creedo | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rockall | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | He’s Ready to Win | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rescue Squad | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cut Day | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lifelike | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uninspired | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deacon Jones | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Analitico | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lincoln Production | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zestiny | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie Strong | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | El Dan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Donegal Freedom | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girlie’s Max | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Superhero | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Auto Dial | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Eagle Point | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Gone Elvis | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame Dennis | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Guy | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lacey’s Kat | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A G’s Gem | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stable Agent | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Time to Party | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American City | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Reg | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shortlist | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bayou Jam | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Bet | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sam’s Promise | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mosquito Fleet | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Texas Holdem | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tappin Fora Dance | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Slim Jimmy | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Plum Wine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eve of Eve | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Won Bright Light | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Idea | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Radiant Rebel | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cousin Vickie | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | World of Hurt | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She Badger | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cool Guitar | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hes the Bomb Too | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gabbys Bling | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Half Way There | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Deal Em Justice | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rodessa Flash | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gold Thief | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Digits | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m a Night Train | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ciel | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Grey Shadow | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Asaasy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Strategy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brilliant Call | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | All Saints | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Louisiana Luca | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Cause | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gorostieta’s Love | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Butchy Boy | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gibson | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Plutonium | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.