Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 6, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lost in Rome 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Saratoga Flash 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Best Bet 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Brew Pub 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bossmakinbossmoves 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Power Seeker 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bad Larry 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Tempted S.) – Tempted S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Believable 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Spa Prospector 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Day to Day 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Secane 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Shilling 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lady Angelina 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Three Nines Fine 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Red Velvet Cake 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Red Boots 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Rare Society 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Neri 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bodegas 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Patience N Grace 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Aperitif 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Shared Success 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ruse 0.00 1 2-1
16 16 Shipsational 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Refuah 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Pineapple Man 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Miztertonic 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Leftembehind 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 American Grant 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mo Trump 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ramblin’ Wreck 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Conman 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Willintoriskitall 0.00 1 2-1
15 15 Get a Job 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Wynstock 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Cable Ready 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Alan Turing 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Party With Smarty 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Sequential 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Freedom Maker 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Natural Hunk 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Grand Commander 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Enduring Angel 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Seeker’s Hope 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Daytona Moonshine 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Down the Line 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Last Man Standing 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Chelsey Flower S.) – Chelsey Flower S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Getting Serious 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tideoftime 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Hidden Rose 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Devilish Grin 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fitz Right 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Candy Moonshine 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Deep Learning 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bella Knows 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fille d’Oro (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Power of Women 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mathea 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Magic in My Eyes 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hire the Hat 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 R U Bluffing 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Margarita Molly 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Absolute Smoke 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bouquetry 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hot Currency 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Pencima 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Can’t Fool Me 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Latest Edition 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Snowy Evening 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Collaboration 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Midtown Lights 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Shezanarcticqueen 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Fast and Frisky 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gallant Greta 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Munny Grab 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Mommasgottagun 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Royal Bobbie 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Nonna Lynne 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Saratoga Snow 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Ah Ca Ira 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Proud Mary 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Roagna 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bunny Honey 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Island Fox 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Princess Summer 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Inflammabelle 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Temple City Taboo 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tralee Girl 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Sheer Will 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Lotus Petal 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fifi La Fume 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Widdershins 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 That’s Funny 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Vino Samara 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.