Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 6, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Power Seeker 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Brew Pub 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Bossmakinbossmoves 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Lost in Rome 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Best Bet 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Bad Larry 30.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Saratoga Flash 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Tempted S.) – Tempted S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Believable 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Secane 1.80 2.1 4-1
3 3 Spa Prospector 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Day to Day 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Shilling 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lady Angelina 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Red Velvet Cake 1.40 2 4-1
5 5 Three Nines Fine 12.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Red Boots 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Patience N Grace 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Aperitif 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Bodegas 8.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Rare Society 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Neri 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miztertonic 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Conman 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Ramblin’ Wreck 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Ruse 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Alan Turing 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Cable Ready 3.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Mo Trump 5.00 6 11-1
13 13 Shared Success 5.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Shipsational 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Refuah 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Pineapple Man 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Leftembehind 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 American Grant 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Willintoriskitall 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Get a Job 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Wynstock 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Grand Commander 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Last Man Standing 2.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Freedom Maker 6.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Sequential 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Seeker’s Hope 5.00 3 6-1
7 7 Party With Smarty 8.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Down the Line 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Natural Hunk 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Daytona Moonshine 30.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Enduring Angel 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Chelsey Flower S.) – Chelsey Flower S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fille d’Oro (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Deep Learning 1.60 1.5 3-1
1 1 Getting Serious 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bella Knows 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Tideoftime 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Candy Moonshine 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Fitz Right 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Hidden Rose 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Devilish Grin 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hot Currency 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Margarita Molly 4.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Absolute Smoke 3.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Magic in My Eyes 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 R U Bluffing 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Power of Women 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Hire the Hat 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Mathea 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Bouquetry 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Pencima 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nonna Lynne 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Gallant Greta 1.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Can’t Fool Me 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Munny Grab 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Latest Edition 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Snowy Evening 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Saratoga Snow 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Shezanarcticqueen 50.00 8 15-1
2 2 Collaboration 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Midtown Lights 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fast and Frisky 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Mommasgottagun 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Royal Bobbie 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ah Ca Ira 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Roagna 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Temple City Taboo 10.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Lotus Petal 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Vino Samara 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Proud Mary 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Bunny Honey 20.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Island Fox 30.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Inflammabelle 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Fifi La Fume 10.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Widdershins 30.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Princess Summer 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tralee Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sheer Will 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 That’s Funny 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.