Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Barricade | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conquering Cat | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Right On Right On | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mintastic | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Batter Up | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princess Kalamoh | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miranda’s Rocky | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mila Junes | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crushed Ice | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calisue | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Minnesota Munny | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Merry Madison | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mimi’s Grace | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hampton’s Affair | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Avery | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risky Wave | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Glory | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bea Trix | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shipman | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Saltwater Cowboy | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bloodline | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Princip | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Xander | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | High Strike | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mine Own Star | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kunshan Bridge | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | W W Crazy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Improbable Story | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stomping Hotrod | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ready Pursuit | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tam Tam | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honfleur | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elegant Miss | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Measure | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rockin Robin | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximum Offer | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inkling | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holly’s Holiday | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Lost and Found | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bunratty Manor (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’z the Law | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saphira | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laurice | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mila Candy | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flirting With Time | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Malibu Muse | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party Pauline | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sarissa | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shirley Ann | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Showers | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vanished | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Misty Muppet | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ahamo | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Volatile Market | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hand It Over | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fancy Fascinator | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Well Aware | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Note | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Birthday Girl | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mombayla | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Tifeye | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chandon | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royalewithcheese | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bright Lady Day | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harrodsburg | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alder | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bango | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy American | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Billal | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lofty Adjudicator | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spankster | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love Her Lots | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steampunk | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Miracle | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missy Bee | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spotty Showers | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brittanysgldnfaith | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honey Hauler | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Blake | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Windy Bay | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Molly’s Rose | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Graceleadsushome | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.