Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mintastic | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barricade | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Right On Right On | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conquering Cat | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Batter Up | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princess Kalamoh | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mila Junes | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crushed Ice | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Minnesota Munny | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miranda’s Rocky | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calisue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Merry Madison | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mimi’s Grace | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Glory | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Avery | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risky Wave | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bea Trix | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hampton’s Affair | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Xander | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shipman | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mine Own Star | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bloodline | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Princip | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Strike | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kunshan Bridge | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | W W Crazy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stomping Hotrod | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Improbable Story | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ready Pursuit | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Saltwater Cowboy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tam Tam | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elegant Miss | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rockin Robin | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximum Offer | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honfleur | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Measure | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inkling | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holly’s Holiday | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She’z the Law | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laurice | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lost and Found | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flirting With Time | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bunratty Manor (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Party Pauline | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Malibu Muse | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saphira | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mila Candy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sarissa | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shirley Ann | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Showers | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Volatile Market | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Misty Muppet | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chandon | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fancy Fascinator | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Note | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ahamo | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royalewithcheese | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Tifeye | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hand It Over | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bright Lady Day | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mombayla | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vanished | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Well Aware | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Birthday Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Harrodsburg | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alder | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Billal | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lofty Adjudicator | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bango | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy American | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spankster | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love Her Lots | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honey Hauler | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steampunk | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Miracle | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Missy Bee | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Windy Bay | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Graceleadsushome | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brittanysgldnfaith | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Blake | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spotty Showers | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Molly’s Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.